Preseason Rankings
McNeese St.
Southland
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#306
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#138
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#205
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#333
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 6.6% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 44.3% 71.4% 42.3%
.500 or above in Conference 60.3% 77.1% 59.1%
Conference Champion 4.3% 9.7% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 2.1% 6.2%
First Four1.8% 2.5% 1.8%
First Round2.3% 5.4% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 7.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 31 - 4
Quad 48 - 69 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 113   @ Nebraska L 74-89 7%    
  Dec 18, 2020 133   @ Austin Peay L 71-84 11%    
  Jan 02, 2021 285   Central Arkansas W 84-82 55%    
  Jan 09, 2021 283   Northwestern St. W 82-81 56%    
  Jan 13, 2021 336   @ Incarnate Word W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 16, 2021 312   @ New Orleans L 78-80 43%    
  Jan 20, 2021 319   SE Louisiana W 82-77 67%    
  Jan 23, 2021 339   @ Houston Baptist W 91-88 62%    
  Jan 27, 2021 234   @ Nicholls St. L 74-81 29%    
  Jan 30, 2021 236   @ Lamar L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 06, 2021 285   @ Central Arkansas L 81-85 36%    
  Feb 13, 2021 283   @ Northwestern St. L 79-84 36%    
  Feb 17, 2021 336   Incarnate Word W 78-69 77%    
  Feb 20, 2021 312   New Orleans W 81-77 64%    
  Feb 24, 2021 319   @ SE Louisiana L 79-80 47%    
  Feb 27, 2021 339   Houston Baptist W 94-85 77%    
  Mar 03, 2021 234   Nicholls St. L 77-78 48%    
  Mar 06, 2021 236   Lamar L 75-76 47%    
Projected Record 9 - 9 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.2 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.1 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 9.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.4 2.9 0.8 0.1 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.3 3.8 0.7 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.2 0.9 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.3 3.1 4.6 1.2 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.5 1.9 0.2 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 13th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.7 5.3 7.6 9.4 11.2 12.0 11.9 11.3 9.0 7.2 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 90.3% 0.2    0.2 0.1
15-1 81.6% 0.9    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-2 51.8% 1.5    0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-3 23.3% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0
12-4 6.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 36.2% 36.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-1 1.1% 29.4% 29.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
14-2 2.8% 20.7% 20.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.3
13-3 4.9% 14.6% 14.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.1
12-4 7.2% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.0 0.5 6.6
11-5 9.0% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.4 8.6
10-6 11.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 11.0
9-7 11.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.8
8-8 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.9
7-9 11.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.2
6-10 9.4% 9.4
5-11 7.6% 7.6
4-12 5.3% 5.3
3-13 3.7% 3.7
2-14 1.6% 1.6
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.5 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%